1 in 960,800
The odds a US citizen is on the No Fly List are 1 in 960,800 (the US, 10/2008).
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Sources & Definitions
CALCULATION(S) BY BOOK OF ODDS BASED ON
Meserve J. Cnn.com/Travel – Terrorist Watch List Shorter Than Previously Reported. CNN.com. October 22, 2008.
Citizen Corps: About Citizen Corps [Internet]. Federal Emergency Management Agency. [accessed July 29, 2009]. Available from: http://www.citizencorps.gov/
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Odds Statement provided by Book of Odds Inc., (Accessed: 05/31/2013)
Odds more likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 3.42, are rounded to three significant digits. Odds less likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 420.4, are rounded to four significant digits. Trailing zeros after the decimal point are dropped for readability, even though they may still be significant.
Odds you’ll see: 1 in 4.26; 14.5; 143; 5,230; 433,200
Odds you won’t see: 1 in 2.412; 63.042; 425,242c