1 in 7.86

The odds the Punxsutawney groundhog will not see his shadow are 1 in 7.86 (Punxsutawney, PA, US, 2/1900 - 2/2009).

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Sources & Definitions

 

Calculation(s) by Book of Odds Based On

Stormfax Weather Almanac [Internet]. Stormfax. [accessed January 27, 2010]. Available from: http://www.stormfax.com/ghogday.htm

Definitions

Punxsutawney groundhog

Punxsutawney Phil the 'official' groundhog of Groundhog Day. He is located in Punxsutawney, PA. On February 2, Phil comes out of his burrow on Gobbler's
Knob and makes a prediction about the weather for the next six weeks.

Shadow

If there is sun on February 2, and Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, then there will be six more weeks of winter according to legend. But, if Phil does not see his shadow then it is believed there will be an early spring.

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Odds Statement provided by Book of Odds Inc., http://www.bookofodds.com/content/view/full/633720 (Accessed: )

Rounding Rules

Odds more likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 3.42, are rounded to three significant digits. Odds less likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 420.4, are rounded to four significant digits. Trailing zeros after the decimal point are dropped for readability, even though they may still be significant.

Odds you'll see: 1 in 4.26; 14.5; 143; 5,230; 433,200

Odds you won't see: 1 in 2.412; 63.042; 425,242c

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