1 in 10,790,000

The odds an airplane passenger will be involved in a plane crash in a year are 1 in 10,790,000 (US, 2008).

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  • Confidence–

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Sources & Definitions

 

Source(s)

RITA - Bureau of Transportation Statistics [Internet]. Bureau of Transportation Statistics; Available from: http://www.transtats.bts.gov/HomeDrillChart_Month.asp?URL_SelectMonth=&URL_SelectYear=

Calculation(s) by Book of Odds Based On

PlaneCrashInfo.com - Accident Database [Internet]. PlaneCrashInfo; Available from: http://www.planecrashinfo.com/database.htm

Definitions

Airplane passenger

Includes any passenger on US carrier domestic and international service flights and foreign carriers with scheduled international service to and from the United States. Airplane passengers in this calculation are not unique individuals; a person is counted as a passenger on each flight. Therefore, one person may be counted as more than one airplane passenger depending on the number of flights taken in a year.

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To properly cite Book of Odds please copy and paste the following into any document utilizing this Odds Statement:

Odds Statement provided by Book of Odds Inc., http://www.bookofodds.com/content/view/full/556373 (Accessed: )

Rounding Rules

Odds more likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 3.42, are rounded to three significant digits. Odds less likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 420.4, are rounded to four significant digits. Trailing zeros after the decimal point are dropped for readability, even though they may still be significant.

Odds you'll see: 1 in 4.26; 14.5; 143; 5,230; 433,200

Odds you won't see: 1 in 2.412; 63.042; 425,242c

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Comments (2)

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anonymous
Comment

where did you come up with 1/447 from the above statement...that makes no sense whatsoever..

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anonymous
Comment

sooo, according to these stats, I guess this means the actual odds are 1 and 447....sucks.

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